Projection 6.3
Last 8 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 5 of 8 (63%).
Marshawn Lloyd Receiving Yards 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.5% against 54.1% (an edge of -4.6 points) and is now 49.4% against 54.0% (-4.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 1:30 PM | 49.5% | 54.1% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 49.5% | 52.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 3:50 PM | 50.3% | 52.8% | -2.5 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 27, 7:20 PM | 48.6% | 54.1% | -5.5 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 48.6% | 53.7% | -5.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 49.2% | 56.1% | -6.9 |
| Oct 27, 8:00 PM | 48.9% | 53.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 27, 8:10 PM | 49.3% | 53.5% | -4.2 |
| Oct 27, 8:20 PM | 49.5% | 54.5% | -5 |
| Oct 27, 10:50 PM | 49.3% | 53.7% | -4.4 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 50.3% | 54.4% | -4.1 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 AM | 50.3% | 53.8% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 12:50 AM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 1:10 AM | 49.7% | 53.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 2:40 AM | 50.2% | 54.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 2:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 4:10 AM | 50.3% | 60.3% | -10 |
| Oct 28, 5:50 AM | 48.9% | 58.3% | -9.4 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 PM | 49.1% | 53.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 1:30 PM | 49.1% | 52.6% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 48.9% | 53.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 28, 2:50 PM | 49.8% | 52.6% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 4:20 PM | 49.1% | 53.4% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 PM | 49.3% | 54.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 PM | 49.7% | 54.1% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 49.9% | 54.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 6:50 PM | 50.1% | 54.1% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 7:10 PM | 49.5% | 54.1% | -4.6 |
| Oct 28, 8:00 PM | 50.2% | 54.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 51.4% | 53.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 51.0% | 53.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 AM | 49.7% | 53.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 51.8% | 53.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 AM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:43 AM | 49.4% | 54.0% | -4.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing marshawn lloyd receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 7h ago | ||
| Tonybet | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Tonybet last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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