Projection 5.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Malik Washington Rushing Yards 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.5% against 51.0% (an edge of -5.5 points) and is now 48.3% against 50.5% (-2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 45.5% | 51.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 46.5% | 47.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 45.5% | 50.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 46.5% | 47.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 47.8% | 50.8% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 46.5% | 49.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 45.5% | 51.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 46.5% | 49.5% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 45.5% | 52.6% | -7.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 46.8% | 51.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 48.0% | 49.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 48.4% | 50.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 46.5% | 50.7% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 46.5% | 50.7% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 49.1% | 50.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 48.5% | 50.5% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 4:09 PM | 48.3% | 50.5% | -2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing malik washington rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 10h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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