Projection 4.1
+0.78pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+12744.1%44¢
against
FanDuel's
+11646.3%46¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Malik Washington Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.4% against 47.5% (an edge of -2.1 points) and is now 44.2% against 45.0% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 45.4% | 47.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 46.1% | 49.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 4:20 PM | 46.1% | 46.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 28, 8:50 PM | 45.0% | 50.7% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 45.8% | 48.8% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 45.9% | 50.7% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 46.2% | 47.4% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 44.8% | 46.7% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 44.6% | 46.1% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 45.5% | 46.5% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 45.5% | 46.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 45.9% | 47.4% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 44.6% | 45.2% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 45.5% | 45.2% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 42.2% | 45.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 45.4% | 45.7% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 42.6% | 45.2% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 44.2% | 45.2% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 45.5% | 45.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 43.9% | 46.3% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 43.9% | 45.7% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 44.8% | 46.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:02 AM | 44.2% | 45.0% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing malik washington receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 21h ago | |
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 14h ago | ||
| Courtside | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 20h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium45 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 14 hours ago.