AJ Barner — Receptions
Projection 3.1
+1.31pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+14141.5%41¢
against
BetRivers's
+13542.6%43¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
AJ Barner Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.5% against 46.1% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 42.5% against 41.5% (1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 43.5% | 46.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 43.8% | 45.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 44.2% | 45.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 42.4% | 44.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 43.8% | 44.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 42.2% | 44.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 42.8% | 41.5% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 43.1% | 43.2% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 41.9% | 40.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 42.3% | 40.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 PM | 45.4% | 40.5% | 4.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 41.5% | 40.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 9:40 PM | 39.6% | 42.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 42.2% | 43.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 42.8% | 43.2% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 PM | 41.4% | 23.5% | 17.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 PM | 40.3% | 40.0% | 0.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 AM | 41.4% | 40.5% | 0.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 AM | 40.3% | 40.5% | -0.2 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 AM | 41.8% | 42.9% | -1.1 |
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 39.6% | 43.5% | -3.9 |
| Nov 1, 7:00 AM | 42.5% | 42.9% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 7:10 AM | 43.1% | 43.5% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 42.0% | 43.5% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 11:10 AM | 42.3% | 43.1% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 11:20 AM | 42.5% | 42.7% | -0.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 PM | 42.2% | 41.8% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 12:58 PM | 42.5% | 41.5% | 1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aj barner receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 8h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 9h ago | ||
|
BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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