Projection 27.9
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (28.5)
Teal bars cleared 28.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
AJ Barner Receiving Yards 28.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 50.2% against 53.0% (-2.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 50.5% | 53.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 50.3% | 53.3% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.3% | 54.3% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 7:00 AM | 50.9% | 53.5% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 9:30 AM | 50.7% | 53.7% | -3 |
| Nov 1, 9:40 AM | 50.5% | 53.9% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 9:50 AM | 50.4% | 53.1% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM | 50.3% | 52.7% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 6:21 PM | 50.2% | 53.0% | -2.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aj barner receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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28.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 15h ago | ||
| Courtside | 28.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago | ||
|
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31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 11h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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