Projection 2.9
+0.36pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+15639.1%39¢
against
Rebet's
+24129.3%29¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Bucky Irving Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 41.8% against 46.8% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 56.5% against 58.7% (-2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 41.8% | 46.8% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 43.3% | 47.7% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 4:10 PM | 44.4% | 48.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 6:10 PM | 45.5% | 48.5% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 8:20 PM | 43.3% | 46.3% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 8:30 PM | 44.5% | 48.5% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 PM | 44.6% | 48.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 46.3% | 51.5% | -5.2 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 47.8% | 50.3% | -2.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 45.5% | 53.9% | -8.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 46.4% | 60.5% | -14.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 45.8% | 55.9% | -10.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 45.8% | 58.6% | -12.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 AM | 46.9% | 63.2% | -16.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:30 AM | 45.0% | 63.2% | -18.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 AM | 46.9% | 59.6% | -12.7 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 AM | 46.9% | 55.9% | -9 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 46.8% | 59.7% | -12.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 51.4% | 59.7% | -8.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.5% | 58.7% | -9.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 46.7% | 60.0% | -13.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 49.9% | 59.1% | -9.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 51.0% | 65.0% | -14 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 46.3% | 54.1% | -7.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 PM | 47.7% | 53.5% | -5.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 47.7% | 52.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.2% | 53.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 48.1% | 51.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 47.6% | 53.5% | -5.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 48.5% | 56.8% | -8.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 48.8% | 54.3% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 11:20 PM | 49.6% | 51.6% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 11:30 PM | 51.2% | 66.0% | -14.8 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 PM | 49.5% | 53.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 AM | 50.4% | 51.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 AM | 49.8% | 52.6% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 AM | 52.9% | 52.6% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 AM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 50.9% | 51.9% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 51.0% | 56.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 53.6% | 54.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 51.9% | 56.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 52.6% | 56.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 56.7% | 54.0% | 2.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 54.5% | 54.8% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 52.0% | 54.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 51.9% | 53.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 56.3% | 54.9% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 57.1% | 56.6% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 58.7% | 62.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 55.4% | 61.9% | -6.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 58.6% | 64.0% | -5.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 59.7% | 59.0% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 57.1% | 60.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 53.2% | 60.9% | -7.7 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 PM | 56.6% | 57.4% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 59.7% | 64.8% | -5.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 60.4% | 61.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 51.4% | 57.1% | -5.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 50.7% | 60.3% | -9.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 54.6% | 58.3% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:19 PM | 56.5% | 58.7% | -2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bucky irving receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 11h ago | ||
|
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago | |
|
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 22h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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