Projection 36.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (36.5)
Teal bars cleared 36.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jayden Daniels Rushing Yards 36.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 50.7% against 51.5% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.3% | 52.8% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 50.3% | 52.4% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 50.4% | 52.4% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.6% | 51.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 AM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 8:20 PM | 49.5% | 51.5% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 50.2% | 51.7% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 49.4% | 51.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 50.8% | 51.9% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 AM | 50.0% | 50.7% | -0.7 |
| Nov 1, 3:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 PM | 50.8% | 52.2% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 50.4% | 52.1% | -1.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:59 PM | 50.7% | 51.5% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jayden daniels rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 36.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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36.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 12h ago | |
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36.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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