Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (32.5)
Teal bars cleared 32.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Caleb Williams Passing Attempts 32.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.1% against 53.7% (an edge of -4.6 points) and is now 48.6% against 54.2% (-5.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 49.1% | 53.7% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 48.8% | 54.5% | -5.7 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:50 AM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 48.8% | 54.5% | -5.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 AM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 PM | 48.0% | 53.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 51.0% | 54.0% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 49.5% | 52.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 50.7% | 53.9% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 51.5% | 52.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 49.5% | 53.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 AM | 51.4% | 52.6% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 48.8% | 53.5% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 49.5% | 54.3% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 48.6% | 53.1% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 49.5% | 52.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 49.8% | 52.4% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 48.3% | 54.5% | -6.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:29 PM | 48.6% | 54.2% | -5.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing caleb williams passing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 32.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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32.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 16h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 32.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 19m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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