Projection 3.0
+1.24pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+14640.7%41¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+13542.6%43¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Rome Odunze Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.4% against 45.5% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 41.9% against 41.6% (0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 42.4% | 45.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 40.2% | 44.8% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM | 40.6% | 43.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 27, 9:50 PM | 42.0% | 44.0% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 42.1% | 42.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 41.6% | 44.4% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 41.3% | 42.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 PM | 41.7% | 43.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 12:00 AM | 42.4% | 44.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 12:50 AM | 40.5% | 43.5% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 1:00 AM | 42.0% | 42.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 42.2% | 44.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 AM | 40.5% | 42.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 6:10 AM | 42.4% | 42.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 AM | 40.9% | 44.2% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 9:30 AM | 40.8% | 45.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 PM | 41.5% | 42.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 PM | 41.7% | 42.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 41.7% | 42.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 AM | 41.9% | 43.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 AM | 42.4% | 40.0% | 2.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 40.9% | 42.9% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 44.3% | 43.5% | 0.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 42.0% | 42.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 43.7% | 49.0% | -5.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 42.5% | 43.2% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 42.0% | 42.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 42.2% | 42.6% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 11:10 PM | 42.2% | 43.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 42.2% | 42.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 AM | 39.8% | 50.0% | -10.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 43.1% | 42.3% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 41.9% | 45.3% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 41.2% | 44.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 41.1% | 42.7% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 39.6% | 42.6% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 43.3% | 42.2% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 42.2% | 42.6% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 PM | 42.8% | 42.6% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 41.4% | 42.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 40.7% | 42.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 PM | 43.5% | 42.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 PM | 42.5% | 43.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 PM | 42.3% | 42.4% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 PM | 41.4% | 42.7% | -1.3 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM | 41.4% | 31.8% | 9.6 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM | 43.4% | 41.0% | 2.4 |
| Nov 1, 12:59 PM | 41.9% | 41.6% | 0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rome odunze receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 21h ago | |
|
|
3.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2d ago | |
|
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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