Projection 15.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Bo Nix Rushing Yards 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 53.7% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 51.4% against 53.4% (-2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 10:20 PM | 50.5% | 53.7% | -3.2 |
| Oct 27, 10:30 PM | 51.2% | 54.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 51.0% | 54.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 AM | 50.9% | 53.4% | -2.5 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 51.4% | 53.4% | -2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bo nix rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 14h ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 15h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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