Bo Nix — Rushing Attempts
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Bo Nix Rushing Attempts 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.8% against 50.0% (an edge of -6.2 points) and is now 46.9% against 47.4% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 43.8% | 50.0% | -6.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 44.5% | 49.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 43.3% | 50.0% | -6.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 43.3% | 49.0% | -5.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 45.2% | 48.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 46.7% | 48.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 45.5% | 49.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:40 PM | 47.8% | 48.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 47.6% | 47.4% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 46.9% | 47.4% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:12 PM | 46.9% | 47.4% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bo nix rushing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 18h ago | |
| Courtside | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 17h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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