Projection 205.8
+0.7pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+28526%26¢
against
Rebet's
+33922.8%23¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (208.5)
Teal bars cleared 208.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Bo Nix Passing Yards 208.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.2% (an edge of -2.2 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.2% (-2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bo nix passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 208.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Dst Propbuilder | 208.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 28m ago | ||
|
|
208.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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