Bo Nix — Passing Completions
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Bo Nix Passing Completions 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.5% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 50.7% against 52.3% (-1.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 49.5% | 53.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 10:20 PM | 51.2% | 54.8% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 10:30 PM | 51.0% | 54.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 10:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 48.1% | 54.8% | -6.7 |
| Oct 27, 11:20 PM | 49.1% | 54.8% | -5.7 |
| Oct 27, 11:30 PM | 49.5% | 55.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 51.0% | 52.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 AM | 50.9% | 52.2% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 50.7% | 51.7% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 PM | 51.0% | 53.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 48.9% | 53.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 46.4% | 53.1% | -6.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 48.8% | 52.8% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 49.6% | 52.3% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 49.7% | 52.7% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 48.8% | 51.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 51.0% | 52.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:30 AM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 48.5% | 51.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 47.7% | 52.4% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 49.2% | 53.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 48.0% | 52.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 51.0% | 52.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 50.8% | 52.3% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 51.0% | 52.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 48.3% | 52.4% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:22 PM | 50.7% | 52.3% | -1.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bo nix passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15h ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 15h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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