Bo Nix — Passing Attempts
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (33.5)
Teal bars cleared 33.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Bo Nix Passing Attempts 33.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.4% against 50.8% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 49.4% against 51.0% (-1.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 47.4% | 50.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 9:50 PM | 49.2% | 51.2% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 AM | 49.0% | 50.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 48.1% | 51.2% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 50.2% | 52.4% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 50.2% | 52.6% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 49.2% | 52.2% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 50.9% | 51.7% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 49.6% | 52.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 50.5% | 51.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:21 PM | 49.4% | 51.0% | -1.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bo nix passing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Courtside | 33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 15h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 16h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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