Keon Coleman — Receptions
Projection 2.3
+0.64pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Pinnacle's
+13342.9%43¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Keon Coleman Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 44.2% against 42.9% (1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 1:00 AM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 53.6% | 53.9% | -0.3 |
| Oct 28, 1:40 AM | 44.1% | 46.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 AM | 45.8% | 48.8% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 AM | 42.8% | 46.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 3:20 AM | 43.5% | 46.5% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 3:30 AM | 42.5% | 47.7% | -5.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:40 AM | 42.5% | 46.5% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 54.4% | 48.8% | 5.6 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 AM | 49.6% | 45.0% | 4.6 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 47.7% | 46.1% | 1.6 |
| Oct 28, 2:40 PM | 44.7% | 46.1% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 42.9% | 46.1% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 43.1% | 46.1% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 5:20 PM | 43.6% | 46.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 45.4% | 46.8% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 9:40 PM | 45.5% | 47.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 43.8% | 46.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 46.4% | 46.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 PM | 43.3% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 AM | 43.7% | 46.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 44.3% | 46.1% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 45.3% | 42.2% | 3.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 42.0% | 42.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 AM | 42.4% | 44.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 43.3% | 42.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 42.3% | 45.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 AM | 43.3% | 42.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 39.3% | 42.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 12:20 PM | 43.5% | 42.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 42.0% | 42.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 39.3% | 42.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 40.6% | 42.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 44.6% | 42.8% | 1.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 43.8% | 41.5% | 2.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 42.9% | 42.9% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 42.2% | 42.7% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 43.3% | 42.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 42.8% | 42.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 40.6% | 42.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 AM | 44.8% | 42.9% | 1.9 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 AM | 44.6% | 42.0% | 2.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 40.3% | 42.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 44.6% | 43.9% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 41.4% | 42.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 43.4% | 43.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 43.2% | 45.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 42.2% | 44.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 42.8% | 42.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 43.1% | 42.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 PM | 44.3% | 43.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 44.6% | 43.9% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 44.1% | 43.1% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 42.2% | 42.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM | 42.2% | 42.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 43.3% | 43.9% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 42.2% | 42.6% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 40.6% | 42.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 42.2% | 42.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 43.3% | 42.5% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 42.2% | 42.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 42.2% | 42.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 43.3% | 42.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 PM | 42.2% | 42.6% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 43.3% | 43.3% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 42.2% | 41.5% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:09 PM | 44.2% | 42.9% | 1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing keon coleman receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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