Ray Davis — Rushing Yards
Projection 4.7
+1.92pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Bet99's
+10050%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Ray Davis Rushing Yards 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.0% (0 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 48.8% | 53.1% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.1% | 51.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.3% | 53.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.5% | 53.5% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 49.7% | 51.2% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 50.0% | 50.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 49.7% | 51.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:22 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ray davis rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 14h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
Novig
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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