Projection 3.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Xavier Worthy Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.5% against 51.0% (an edge of -4.5 points) and is now 43.4% against 44.3% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 12:30 PM | 46.5% | 51.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 48.0% | 53.4% | -5.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:10 PM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 48.4% | 48.6% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 49.2% | 50.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 47.4% | 50.6% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 48.0% | 51.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 8:40 PM | 40.4% | 50.0% | -9.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 44.8% | 45.8% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 45.4% | 45.3% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:40 PM | 39.2% | 45.0% | -5.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 39.6% | 45.3% | -5.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 40.9% | 45.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 44.2% | 45.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 44.2% | 45.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 44.3% | 45.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 43.5% | 45.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 AM | 43.3% | 45.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 44.5% | 44.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 43.3% | 44.4% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 42.7% | 44.3% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 43.0% | 44.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:38 PM | 43.4% | 44.3% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing xavier worthy receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
3.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 16h ago | |
| Courtside | 3.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 13h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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