Projection 28.8
+0.98pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Bovada's
-11052.4%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (29.5)
Teal bars cleared 29.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards 29.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.5% against 58.7% (an edge of -6.2 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.9% (-1.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 52.5% | 58.7% | -6.2 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 AM | 50.4% | 54.8% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 56.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 AM | 50.6% | 54.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 AM | 51.0% | 58.0% | -7 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 AM | 51.5% | 53.7% | -2.2 |
| Oct 28, 12:20 PM | 50.4% | 51.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.0% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 5:20 PM | 50.7% | 53.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 51.6% | 53.2% | -1.6 |
| Oct 28, 6:10 PM | 51.7% | 54.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 8:20 PM | 52.3% | 54.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 AM | 51.2% | 51.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 48.5% | 51.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 AM | 49.3% | 51.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:40 AM | 49.2% | 51.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 49.3% | 50.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 50.4% | 50.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 49.6% | 53.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 50.4% | 50.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 49.0% | 53.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:31 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing greg dulcich receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 29.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2d ago | |
|
|
29.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | |
|
|
29.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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