Projection 4.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Brenton Strange Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.1% against 57.1% (an edge of -3 points) and is now 55.2% against 57.1% (-1.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 54.1% | 57.1% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 3:40 PM | 53.6% | 53.5% | 0.1 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 52.8% | 55.2% | -2.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:00 PM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 51.7% | 55.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 11:30 PM | 53.3% | 56.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 PM | 52.8% | 56.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 AM | 54.7% | 58.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 AM | 55.9% | 58.9% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 AM | 55.1% | 58.7% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 55.9% | 57.3% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 54.2% | 57.8% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 AM | 53.3% | 58.7% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 55.2% | 58.4% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 54.4% | 59.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 54.5% | 58.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 55.8% | 59.4% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 AM | 54.2% | 58.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 54.2% | 59.4% | -5.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 54.9% | 58.3% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 54.9% | 58.1% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 55.4% | 57.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 53.3% | 55.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 53.1% | 56.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 53.6% | 58.7% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 55.8% | 57.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 54.9% | 57.1% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 55.6% | 57.4% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 55.4% | 58.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 53.5% | 57.6% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 54.5% | 57.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 54.9% | 57.4% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 54.5% | 57.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 54.5% | 57.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 56.9% | 57.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 55.7% | 58.7% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 54.1% | 58.0% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:40 PM | 57.3% | 55.6% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 55.8% | 57.6% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 54.5% | 57.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 58.3% | 57.1% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:10 AM | 58.4% | 57.1% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 57.1% | 57.6% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 53.6% | 55.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 AM | 58.6% | 56.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 58.6% | 56.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 56.7% | 56.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 57.8% | 56.9% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 55.9% | 57.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 54.9% | 57.1% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:02 AM | 55.2% | 57.1% | -1.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing brenton strange receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 9h ago | ||
|
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 13h ago | |
|
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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