Projection 2.2
+2.59pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+14141.5%41¢
against
Rebet's
+13542.6%43¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Darnell Washington Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 41.9% against 54.3% (an edge of -12.4 points) and is now 43.7% against 41.5% (2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 41.9% | 54.3% | -12.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 49.9% | 51.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 42.4% | 54.5% | -12.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 AM | 41.5% | 46.9% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 42.2% | 48.4% | -6.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 41.8% | 46.9% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 43.4% | 46.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 49.5% | 46.5% | 3 |
| Oct 29, 11:20 AM | 46.2% | 46.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:30 PM | 50.6% | 46.5% | 4.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 47.9% | 46.5% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 PM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 PM | 48.6% | 46.3% | 2.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 48.6% | 48.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 42.2% | 49.0% | -6.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 47.8% | 49.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 47.4% | 46.1% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 45.1% | 45.2% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 42.9% | 44.8% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 48.6% | 45.2% | 3.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 45.5% | 44.1% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 49.0% | 43.2% | 5.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 42.5% | 44.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 44.2% | 44.1% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 43.7% | 43.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 45.6% | 45.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 48.6% | 45.0% | 3.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 AM | 46.5% | 43.5% | 3 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 44.3% | 43.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 46.5% | 43.1% | 3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 43.8% | 44.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 45.5% | 42.9% | 2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 46.5% | 42.6% | 3.9 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 43.3% | 42.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 40.8% | 42.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 45.5% | 42.6% | 2.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 44.3% | 42.6% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 AM | 43.8% | 42.0% | 1.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 43.9% | 42.6% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 44.3% | 41.8% | 2.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:09 PM | 43.7% | 41.5% | 2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing darnell washington receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 23h ago | |
|
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | |
|
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium43 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 1 hour ago.