Drew Sample — Receptions
Projection 1.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Drew Sample Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.5% against 40.7% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 44.6% against 45.3% (-0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 40.5% | 40.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 44.2% | 41.0% | 3.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 43.2% | 41.4% | 1.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 40.9% | 41.6% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 41.3% | 42.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 40.8% | 41.7% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 41.7% | 45.9% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 39.6% | 41.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 39.9% | 41.3% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 AM | 39.6% | 41.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 PM | 38.9% | 41.7% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 41.0% | 42.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 41.3% | 41.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 40.3% | 40.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 39.6% | 44.1% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 43.3% | 41.7% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 45.5% | 41.3% | 4.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 39.1% | 41.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 38.7% | 41.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 45.2% | 41.0% | 4.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 43.9% | 41.0% | 2.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 43.3% | 41.7% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 40.2% | 42.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 PM | 39.8% | 42.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 39.8% | 42.6% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 PM | 37.8% | 41.7% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 PM | 39.6% | 42.4% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 46.3% | 44.6% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 43.3% | 45.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 45.1% | 46.5% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 42.2% | 46.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 43.3% | 46.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 45.9% | 46.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 45.3% | 45.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 47.6% | 45.8% | 1.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 45.5% | 45.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 PM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 44.5% | 46.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 45.0% | 45.3% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 PM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 PM | 44.6% | 45.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:51 PM | 44.6% | 45.3% | -0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing drew sample receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 6h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | |
 BetRivers
|
1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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