Drew Sample — Receiving Yards
Projection 8.5
+0.15pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11147.4%47¢
against
Rebet's
+10149.8%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Drew Sample Receiving Yards 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.2% against 46.1% (an edge of -0.9 points) and is now 49.9% against 48.1% (1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 45.2% | 46.1% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 49.5% | 53.5% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 PM | 50.2% | 49.5% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 44.0% | 52.6% | -8.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 50.8% | 60.0% | -9.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 50.4% | 50.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:28 PM | 49.9% | 48.1% | 1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing drew sample receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 22m ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 7h ago | ||
 Hard Rock Bet
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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