Dawson Knox — Receptions
Projection 1.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Dawson Knox Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 37.1% against 38.9% (an edge of -1.8 points) and is now 38.2% against 40.0% (-1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 37.1% | 38.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:10 PM | 39.1% | 39.3% | -0.2 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 38.6% | 39.3% | -0.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 PM | 38.6% | 39.3% | -0.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 41.5% | 39.1% | 2.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 41.3% | 39.1% | 2.2 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 37.3% | 39.1% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 42.2% | 39.1% | 3.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 39.2% | 40.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 38.2% | 39.1% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 36.5% | 39.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 AM | 34.6% | 38.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 36.4% | 39.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 35.0% | 38.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 36.4% | 38.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 36.0% | 38.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 37.2% | 38.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 35.0% | 38.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 35.3% | 38.2% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 36.5% | 38.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 35.9% | 38.7% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 35.0% | 39.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 AM | 37.1% | 38.2% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 35.8% | 38.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 AM | 36.9% | 38.5% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 AM | 36.5% | 38.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 35.8% | 38.3% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 37.1% | 38.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 35.7% | 39.7% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 35.6% | 38.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 36.7% | 38.3% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 35.9% | 39.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 35.7% | 39.4% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 35.7% | 39.1% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 36.5% | 38.5% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 37.7% | 37.0% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 38.5% | 38.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 37.7% | 38.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 38.1% | 39.1% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 37.8% | 41.7% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 37.8% | 39.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 37.4% | 38.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 35.9% | 39.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 38.8% | 39.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 37.8% | 43.1% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 37.8% | 43.1% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 39.2% | 40.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 37.1% | 39.1% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 37.9% | 39.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 38.7% | 40.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 37.8% | 42.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:29 PM | 38.2% | 40.0% | -1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dawson knox receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 8h ago | |
 Bovada
|
1.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 1.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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