Projection 23.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (23.5)
Teal bars cleared 23.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards 23.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.6% against 54.0% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 50.0% against 58.3% (-8.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 50.6% | 54.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 50.1% | 55.0% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.0% | 54.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 49.8% | 54.2% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 PM | 50.5% | 55.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 50.1% | 53.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 49.5% | 55.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 49.9% | 53.9% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 50.5% | 53.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.6% | 53.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 49.4% | 53.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 49.8% | 61.5% | -11.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 50.2% | 53.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 49.5% | 53.5% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 50.3% | 53.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.6% | 54.7% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:14 PM | 50.0% | 58.3% | -8.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing mike gesicki receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
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23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 8h ago | ||
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23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 21h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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