Projection 45.3
+0.56pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+12245%45¢
against
Rebet's
+11945.7%46¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (45.5)
Teal bars cleared 45.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards 45.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 54.8% (an edge of -6.8 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.7% (-2.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 48.0% | 54.8% | -6.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 52.0% | 52.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 49.0% | 53.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 51.0% | 52.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 49.6% | 52.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 49.3% | 52.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 PM | 49.9% | 52.6% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 PM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 AM | 50.2% | 51.8% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 51.0% | 52.4% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 PM | 49.9% | 52.6% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 5:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Nov 1, 3:24 PM | 50.0% | 52.7% | -2.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing hunter henry receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
45.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 16h ago | |
|
|
45.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 21h ago | |
|
|
45.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 12h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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