Cade Otton — Receptions
Projection 3.6
+1.61pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Stoiximan's
+10249.5%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Cade Otton Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.2% against 44.2% (an edge of -2 points) and is now 50.3% against 51.0% (-0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 3:30 AM | 42.2% | 44.2% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 41.3% | 44.2% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 44.0% | 45.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 41.4% | 45.7% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 AM | 43.9% | 43.5% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 AM | 45.3% | 44.4% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 43.6% | 46.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 44.0% | 47.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 43.2% | 45.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 39.8% | 45.9% | -6.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 46.1% | 47.1% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 45.9% | 46.3% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 42.4% | 44.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 48.6% | 46.1% | 2.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 46.5% | 46.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 45.8% | 46.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 42.2% | 45.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 47.4% | 46.1% | 1.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 43.9% | 45.9% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 49.0% | 47.6% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 51.6% | 50.1% | 1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 51.5% | 51.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 51.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 52.0% | 49.7% | 2.3 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 PM | 49.9% | 51.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 48.4% | 51.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 51.6% | 49.0% | 2.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 50.4% | 51.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 AM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 AM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 46.4% | 50.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 46.6% | 50.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 50.3% | 50.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 50.1% | 50.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 51.0% | 51.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 51.4% | 50.5% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:39 PM | 50.3% | 51.0% | -0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing cade otton receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 11h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
 Bovada
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 16h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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