Jahan Dotson — Receptions
Projection 2.0
+1.4pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+16338%38¢
against
Bovada's
+14540.8%41¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Jahan Dotson Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 34.8% against 39.1% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 39.2% against 38.6% (0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 8:30 AM | 34.8% | 39.1% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 33.7% | 35.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 39.0% | 41.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 39.1% | 42.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 39.3% | 40.8% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 40.3% | 39.5% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 AM | 39.9% | 39.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 38.3% | 38.1% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 39.8% | 37.8% | 2 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 39.0% | 42.0% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 39.2% | 39.1% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 38.6% | 39.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 38.6% | 39.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 39.0% | 39.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 38.7% | 38.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 38.3% | 38.8% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 38.2% | 37.0% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 38.2% | 40.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 39.9% | 40.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 39.6% | 39.3% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 39.0% | 39.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 39.8% | 39.1% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 39.4% | 38.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 39.6% | 38.0% | 1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:55 PM | 39.2% | 38.6% | 0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jahan dotson receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | |
|
Bovada
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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