Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Receptions
Projection 7.1
+1.83pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+56715%15¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+47517.4%17¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.8% against 50.0% (an edge of -4.2 points) and is now 46.9% against 47.9% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 7:10 PM | 45.8% | 50.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 44.9% | 46.9% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 43.5% | 48.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 27, 9:10 PM | 45.4% | 47.4% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 9:30 PM | 46.0% | 49.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 10:20 PM | 47.1% | 49.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 45.9% | 50.4% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 AM | 46.9% | 50.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 28, 9:30 AM | 46.9% | 50.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 3:30 PM | 46.6% | 47.6% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 3:40 PM | 45.9% | 47.8% | -1.9 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 45.4% | 44.4% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 AM | 47.4% | 44.1% | 3.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 47.5% | 44.3% | 3.2 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 46.8% | 50.7% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 46.4% | 49.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 46.6% | 48.2% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 47.4% | 47.8% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 48.6% | 47.8% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 47.0% | 47.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 47.4% | 45.5% | 1.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 48.8% | 47.8% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 46.5% | 48.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 45.5% | 47.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 46.2% | 48.2% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 49.3% | 47.8% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 47.2% | 48.1% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 46.9% | 46.7% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 48.3% | 48.1% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 49.1% | 46.9% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 50.5% | 47.6% | 2.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 46.5% | 47.6% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 PM | 48.6% | 48.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 43.9% | 47.4% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 44.4% | 47.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 45.7% | 47.4% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 46.9% | 47.9% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jaxon smith-njigba receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
7.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 5h ago | |
 Bovada
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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