Dalton Kincaid — Receptions
Projection 3.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Dalton Kincaid Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 57.5% (an edge of -5.5 points) and is now 53.8% against 54.1% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:10 AM | 52.0% | 57.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 AM | 55.9% | 57.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 AM | 55.3% | 57.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 3:20 AM | 55.5% | 57.7% | -2.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:30 AM | 56.5% | 57.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 3:40 AM | 56.3% | 58.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 54.2% | 58.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 4:20 AM | 56.6% | 58.3% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:30 AM | 55.8% | 58.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 1:40 PM | 54.9% | 55.8% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 55.4% | 55.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 2:10 PM | 53.7% | 55.4% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 54.1% | 55.3% | -1.2 |
| Oct 28, 5:20 PM | 51.9% | 55.4% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 51.6% | 55.4% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 52.0% | 55.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 54.7% | 55.4% | -0.7 |
| Oct 28, 9:30 PM | 54.3% | 55.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 53.7% | 55.9% | -2.2 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 54.5% | 55.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 PM | 55.8% | 54.8% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 AM | 56.3% | 55.4% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 54.0% | 55.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 54.1% | 55.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 54.6% | 57.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 53.1% | 57.3% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 PM | 54.7% | 55.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 52.6% | 55.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 52.6% | 54.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 58.4% | 55.4% | 3 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 52.3% | 54.8% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 54.8% | 54.6% | 0.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 53.5% | 55.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 52.4% | 54.3% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 53.7% | 54.8% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 52.6% | 55.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 53.5% | 54.5% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 53.5% | 54.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 52.8% | 58.3% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 53.2% | 54.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 52.8% | 54.3% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 52.3% | 54.1% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 53.5% | 54.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 53.5% | 54.8% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 55.5% | 54.4% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 53.6% | 54.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 53.6% | 53.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 53.6% | 53.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 54.2% | 54.1% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 53.0% | 54.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 PM | 54.0% | 54.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:43 PM | 53.8% | 54.1% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dalton kincaid receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 5h ago | |
 BetMGM
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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