Jerry Jeudy — Receptions
Projection 2.2
+1.33pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Rebet's
+15539.2%39¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Jerry Jeudy Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 37.8% against 41.0% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 41.2% against 40.0% (1.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 37.8% | 41.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 39.8% | 45.2% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 40.4% | 45.2% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 38.9% | 42.6% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 39.7% | 43.7% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 39.2% | 42.8% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 38.4% | 42.6% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 41.7% | 42.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 37.8% | 41.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 38.6% | 42.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 41.9% | 42.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 37.7% | 42.9% | -5.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 40.8% | 41.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 40.6% | 41.3% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 40.2% | 41.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 39.5% | 41.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 41.5% | 41.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 39.1% | 41.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 38.8% | 41.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 39.6% | 41.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 40.3% | 41.4% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 40.4% | 41.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 38.7% | 41.7% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 39.8% | 41.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 40.2% | 41.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 41.1% | 40.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 40.7% | 40.0% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 40.1% | 40.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 40.6% | 40.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 40.9% | 40.5% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM | 39.4% | 40.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 38.9% | 40.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 40.6% | 40.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 41.8% | 40.0% | 1.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 40.4% | 40.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 39.8% | 40.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 AM | 37.8% | 40.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 39.2% | 40.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 41.3% | 40.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 41.3% | 40.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 38.7% | 41.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 2:29 PM | 41.2% | 40.0% | 1.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jerry jeudy receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | |
 BetMGM
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 19h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 17h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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