Projection 15.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.8% against 51.0% (an edge of -2.2 points) and is now 49.6% against 53.9% (-4.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 48.8% | 51.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 PM | 46.5% | 53.9% | -7.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 PM | 49.7% | 53.9% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:35 PM | 49.6% | 53.9% | -4.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jake ferguson receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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15.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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