Josh Downs — Receiving Yards
Projection 33.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (32.5)
Teal bars cleared 32.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Josh Downs Receiving Yards 32.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.1% against 54.9% (an edge of -5.8 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.7% (-2.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 49.1% | 54.9% | -5.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 50.8% | 53.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 50.7% | 53.7% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 50.5% | 53.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 50.4% | 52.8% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.2% | 53.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.7% | -2.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing josh downs receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 32.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
32.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
32.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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