TJ Hockenson — Receptions
Projection 4.5
+0.14pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
BetRivers's
+10548.8%49¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
TJ Hockenson Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.2% against 52.5% (an edge of -5.3 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.0% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 7:20 AM | 47.2% | 52.5% | -5.3 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 48.0% | 51.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 27, 11:50 AM | 45.9% | 51.9% | -6 |
| Oct 27, 1:10 PM | 47.2% | 50.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 27, 1:20 PM | 46.9% | 49.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 49.4% | 51.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 48.0% | 52.2% | -4.2 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 47.4% | 50.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 47.1% | 52.8% | -5.7 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 47.4% | 51.9% | -4.5 |
| Oct 27, 11:30 PM | 46.9% | 51.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 PM | 46.9% | 51.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:20 AM | 48.6% | 54.8% | -6.2 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 49.0% | 52.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 1:30 AM | 49.0% | 54.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 47.8% | 53.6% | -5.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 AM | 48.3% | 54.0% | -5.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 AM | 48.5% | 52.7% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 49.4% | 51.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:50 PM | 49.0% | 49.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 28, 1:00 PM | 47.4% | 49.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 5:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 47.6% | 51.8% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 PM | 48.4% | 51.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 6:50 PM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 7:10 PM | 47.1% | 50.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 7:50 PM | 49.2% | 51.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 8:00 PM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 8:10 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 PM | 51.0% | 51.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 9:30 PM | 48.1% | 51.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 48.2% | 51.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 47.4% | 51.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 11:30 PM | 46.9% | 52.6% | -5.7 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 46.2% | 51.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 51.9% | 50.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 49.4% | 51.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 47.4% | 52.4% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 48.9% | 51.4% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 49.6% | 52.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 47.2% | 50.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 46.5% | 50.3% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 46.7% | 51.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 47.4% | 48.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 48.0% | 50.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 48.5% | 53.3% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.6% | 50.3% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 46.4% | 51.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 49.8% | 51.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 45.9% | 51.9% | -6 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 45.9% | 52.4% | -6.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 48.0% | 50.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 47.8% | 50.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 47.8% | 48.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 48.8% | 50.6% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 50.0% | 50.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 48.6% | 50.3% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 49.0% | 50.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 48.9% | 54.1% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 48.0% | 53.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 AM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 46.5% | 50.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 49.3% | 51.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 50.1% | 51.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 50.5% | 51.6% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:45 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing tj hockenson receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 22h ago | |
|
BetRivers
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 12m ago | |
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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