Projection 46.3
+0.5pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10249.5%50¢
against
Pinnacle's
-11252.8%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (46.5)
Teal bars cleared 46.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards 46.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.5% (an edge of -3.5 points) and is now 50.1% against 50.9% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 12:20 AM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.8% | 52.6% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 AM | 49.4% | 53.7% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 AM | 49.0% | 53.7% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 49.6% | 53.3% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 49.7% | 48.5% | 1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.3% | 52.2% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.6% | 52.2% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 50.6% | 48.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 51.0% | 52.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.4% | 52.8% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 50.4% | 52.8% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 50.6% | 52.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.2% | 52.2% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 50.3% | 50.9% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:21 PM | 50.1% | 50.9% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing travis kelce receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
46.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 22h ago | |
| Courtside | 46.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
46.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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