DK Metcalf — Receptions
Projection 4.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
DK Metcalf Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.4% against 51.9% (an edge of -8.5 points) and is now 44.6% against 42.9% (1.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 43.4% | 51.9% | -8.5 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 45.5% | 51.9% | -6.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 45.5% | 51.6% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 45.6% | 51.0% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 44.8% | 51.0% | -6.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 49.0% | 46.9% | 2.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 48.1% | 47.6% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 50.0% | 49.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 47.6% | 45.2% | 2.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:50 AM | 48.8% | 47.3% | 1.5 |
| Oct 29, 1:30 PM | 46.2% | 48.7% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 46.9% | 49.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 47.3% | 48.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 48.2% | 48.1% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 48.0% | 45.0% | 3 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 45.6% | 45.5% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 45.5% | 47.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 44.4% | 46.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 45.1% | 46.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 49.3% | 48.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 45.5% | 47.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 45.8% | 46.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 46.4% | 46.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 47.6% | 46.2% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 46.9% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 48.5% | 46.5% | 2 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 46.8% | 47.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 48.4% | 46.2% | 2.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 48.0% | 48.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 11:10 PM | 46.5% | 45.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 47.6% | 45.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 46.9% | 46.5% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 48.9% | 45.5% | 3.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 47.0% | 46.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 46.7% | 46.9% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 47.2% | 45.5% | 1.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 48.0% | 46.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 47.2% | 46.9% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:10 PM | 49.1% | 46.5% | 2.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 47.1% | 45.1% | 2 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 45.7% | 42.9% | 2.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 43.3% | 42.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 43.2% | 42.5% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 43.2% | 42.9% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 43.9% | 43.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 44.3% | 42.9% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 44.3% | 42.9% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 PM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 PM | 43.3% | 42.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:09 PM | 44.6% | 42.9% | 1.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dk metcalf receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 41m ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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