DK Metcalf — Receiving Yards
Projection 55.8
+0.79pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+90010%10¢
against
Rebet's
+71912.2%12¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (54.5)
Teal bars cleared 54.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards 54.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.2% against 58.0% (an edge of -8.8 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.0% (0 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 49.2% | 58.0% | -8.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 58.0% | -8 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 49.8% | 58.0% | -8.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 AM | 49.8% | 53.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 49.6% | 51.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 49.3% | 52.6% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.7% | 51.0% | -1.3 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 AM | 50.2% | 51.8% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:29 AM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dk metcalf receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 54.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2d ago | |
 BetMGM
|
54.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | |
 BetRivers
|
54.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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