Projection 3.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Kyle Pitts Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.3% against 54.5% (an edge of 1.8 points) and is now 51.0% against 51.9% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 56.3% | 54.5% | 1.8 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 55.6% | 68.8% | -13.2 |
| Oct 28, 7:40 PM | 53.5% | 57.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 9:00 PM | 53.9% | 52.6% | 1.3 |
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 53.6% | 53.3% | 0.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 53.1% | 56.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 57.6% | 56.5% | 1.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 PM | 51.9% | 56.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 51.6% | 56.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 51.4% | 56.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 51.4% | 54.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 51.5% | 56.9% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 6:50 AM | 55.4% | 54.1% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 AM | 53.7% | 52.2% | 1.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 AM | 54.3% | 51.9% | 2.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 52.9% | 52.2% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 52.3% | 50.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.7% | 53.6% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.5% | 51.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 48.6% | 55.0% | -6.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 50.5% | 51.2% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 51.2% | 51.2% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 51.1% | 51.2% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:40 PM | 50.7% | 51.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 51.2% | 51.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 52.0% | 51.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:02 AM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kyle pitts receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 9h ago | ||
|
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
|
3.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 21h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium48 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 1 hour ago.