Projection 2.7
+1.57pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
-12755.9%56¢
against
BetMGM's
-13056.5%57¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Cooper Kupp Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.1% against 59.2% (an edge of -4.1 points) and is now 55.6% against 59.0% (-3.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 55.1% | 59.2% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 56.5% | 60.4% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 PM | 55.6% | 60.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 PM | 56.3% | 60.6% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 PM | 55.9% | 60.3% | -4.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 AM | 55.0% | 59.0% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM | 54.5% | 61.2% | -6.7 |
| Nov 1, 9:30 AM | 54.6% | 56.9% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 9:50 AM | 54.6% | 56.5% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:10 AM | 55.9% | 56.9% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 11:20 AM | 55.3% | 45.3% | 10 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 55.3% | 58.1% | -2.8 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 PM | 55.3% | 57.1% | -1.8 |
| Nov 1, 12:58 PM | 55.6% | 59.0% | -3.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing cooper kupp receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 9h ago | |
|
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago | |
|
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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