Noah Gray — Receptions
Projection 1.4
+2.34pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Stoiximan's
+11546.5%47¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Noah Gray Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.0% against 50.4% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 47.6% against 49.0% (-1.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 12:30 PM | 46.0% | 50.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 45.5% | 51.9% | -6.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 48.0% | 50.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 48.0% | 49.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 53.6% | 49.5% | 4.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 45.5% | 49.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 50.4% | 49.8% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 49.0% | 49.3% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 51.1% | 49.0% | 2.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 50.1% | 49.3% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 47.5% | 49.5% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 46.3% | 49.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 47.6% | 49.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 PM | 46.5% | 48.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 51.2% | 49.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 55.2% | 49.0% | 6.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 51.9% | 47.8% | 4.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 AM | 47.1% | 49.8% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 45.5% | 49.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 46.4% | 49.4% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.4% | 49.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 AM | 46.5% | 48.5% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 46.0% | 49.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 46.0% | 48.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 46.3% | 49.8% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 47.4% | 49.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 47.6% | 49.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:18 PM | 47.6% | 49.0% | -1.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing noah gray receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 41m ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 59m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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