Noah Gray — Receiving Yards
Projection 14.3
+2.05pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
FanDuel's
-11453.3%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (13.5)
Teal bars cleared 13.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Noah Gray Receiving Yards 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.8% (an edge of -3.8 points) and is now 51.4% against 59.2% (-7.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:30 PM | 50.0% | 53.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 49.4% | 53.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 49.7% | 53.7% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 49.9% | 52.2% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 AM | 50.7% | 52.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 AM | 52.9% | 53.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 49.9% | 54.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 50.5% | 54.5% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 51.2% | 55.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 51.0% | 54.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 51.8% | 55.3% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:45 PM | 51.4% | 59.2% | -7.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing noah gray receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Courtside | 13.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago | |
 DraftKings
|
13.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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