Projection 3.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Jordan Addison Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.9% against 46.5% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 42.0% against 42.0% (0 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 43.9% | 46.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 42.8% | 46.4% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 45.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 45.1% | 45.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 45.0% | 46.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 10:50 PM | 42.5% | 47.2% | -4.7 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 44.1% | 46.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 44.7% | 46.1% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 AM | 44.1% | 46.1% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 AM | 44.4% | 46.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 1:10 AM | 42.5% | 46.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 45.0% | 45.0% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 44.7% | 47.2% | -2.5 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 44.4% | 46.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 AM | 44.7% | 46.1% | -1.4 |
| Oct 28, 2:40 PM | 45.3% | 45.2% | 0.1 |
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 43.7% | 44.8% | -1.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 47.7% | 45.1% | 2.6 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 47.4% | 44.8% | 2.6 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 43.1% | 44.7% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 44.4% | 45.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 43.2% | 45.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 45.5% | 45.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 42.5% | 45.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 43.4% | 44.2% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 42.5% | 45.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 43.7% | 44.1% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 43.6% | 42.9% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 42.2% | 44.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 41.7% | 43.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 43.1% | 44.2% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:40 AM | 42.2% | 42.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 42.2% | 42.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 41.3% | 43.2% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 42.2% | 44.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 40.8% | 42.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 41.5% | 42.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 40.8% | 42.8% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 42.2% | 42.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 PM | 41.4% | 42.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 41.4% | 42.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 43.4% | 42.8% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 42.2% | 43.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 41.4% | 43.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 42.2% | 43.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 42.7% | 45.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 42.0% | 42.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 42.5% | 42.5% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 40.8% | 42.7% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 37.6% | 43.5% | -5.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 41.7% | 42.8% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 AM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 42.2% | 44.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 41.4% | 44.2% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 42.2% | 44.6% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 41.4% | 43.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:04 PM | 42.0% | 42.0% | 0 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jordan addison receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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