Sam Laporta — Receptions
Projection 4.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Sam Laporta Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.0% against 59.4% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 49.0% against 47.2% (1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 7:10 AM | 56.0% | 59.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 7:20 AM | 54.5% | 59.1% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 AM | 55.3% | 59.7% | -4.4 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 AM | 55.4% | 59.7% | -4.3 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 53.1% | 59.3% | -6.2 |
| Oct 27, 12:00 PM | 52.0% | 58.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 52.8% | 56.3% | -3.5 |
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 59.6% | 56.3% | 3.3 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 49.4% | 55.9% | -6.5 |
| Oct 27, 7:10 PM | 52.9% | 55.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 50.8% | 55.6% | -4.8 |
| Oct 27, 10:50 PM | 52.0% | 54.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 51.0% | 57.0% | -6 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 50.9% | 55.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 AM | 51.0% | 57.0% | -6 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 AM | 50.6% | 55.8% | -5.2 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 52.3% | 56.5% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 51.2% | 56.5% | -5.3 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 5:50 AM | 52.0% | 56.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 51.5% | 56.3% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 AM | 51.0% | 56.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 AM | 51.2% | 55.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 PM | 51.9% | 56.9% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 51.6% | 56.4% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 54.5% | 56.5% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 51.7% | 55.9% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 51.6% | 56.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 PM | 51.4% | 56.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 51.2% | 56.3% | -5.1 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 PM | 52.1% | 56.1% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 10:40 PM | 52.4% | 55.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 51.7% | 55.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 55.8% | 54.8% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 52.0% | 54.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 51.4% | 55.6% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 AM | 50.4% | 53.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 56.3% | 53.0% | 3.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 55.8% | 53.1% | 2.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 51.7% | 54.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 51.5% | 53.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 AM | 51.6% | 53.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 54.9% | 53.9% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 54.1% | 54.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 55.4% | 54.5% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 52.3% | 53.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 51.9% | 53.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 51.0% | 52.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 51.5% | 53.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 51.3% | 53.1% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 50.4% | 52.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 49.6% | 51.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 50.3% | 51.8% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 49.5% | 51.7% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 50.6% | 52.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 50.6% | 52.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 48.6% | 51.3% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 47.5% | 50.5% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM | 50.4% | 51.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.5% | 51.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 52.0% | 51.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 51.0% | 51.4% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 45.5% | 50.9% | -5.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 51.0% | 51.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 50.3% | 56.9% | -6.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 52.0% | 51.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 51.0% | 52.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 50.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 50.5% | 49.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.5% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 50.0% | 49.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 49.0% | 49.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 50.0% | 50.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 47.4% | 50.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:10 PM | 49.2% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 49.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 46.7% | 48.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 49.6% | 49.3% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 49.4% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 51.6% | 50.0% | 1.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 AM | 48.4% | 46.9% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 49.1% | 46.7% | 2.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 49.5% | 47.4% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 50.0% | 47.6% | 2.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 48.0% | 47.6% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 49.1% | 47.1% | 2 |
| Oct 31, 9:30 AM | 45.8% | 46.9% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 49.0% | 47.6% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 45.7% | 47.4% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:18 PM | 49.0% | 47.2% | 1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing sam laporta receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | |
 BetRivers
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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