Stefon Diggs — Receptions
Projection 4.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Stefon Diggs Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.3% against 44.1% (an edge of -3.8 points) and is now 42.6% against 43.3% (-0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 40.3% | 44.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 43.7% | 45.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 42.5% | 44.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:30 PM | 43.1% | 45.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 43.4% | 44.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM | 46.0% | 45.0% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 AM | 45.1% | 44.4% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 45.1% | 44.7% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 AM | 42.3% | 44.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 AM | 43.0% | 44.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 42.4% | 43.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 40.2% | 33.1% | 7.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 42.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 43.5% | 43.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 44.6% | 43.4% | 1.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 44.1% | 43.9% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 AM | 44.9% | 44.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 AM | 40.3% | 43.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 44.4% | 43.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 AM | 43.3% | 43.1% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 43.3% | 42.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 43.4% | 43.1% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 43.7% | 32.6% | 11.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 40.3% | 43.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 42.9% | 43.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 44.6% | 42.7% | 1.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 43.3% | 45.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 44.2% | 42.3% | 1.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 41.4% | 42.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 44.6% | 42.7% | 1.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 42.3% | 43.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 45.1% | 42.0% | 3.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 43.3% | 41.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 44.1% | 42.0% | 2.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 41.4% | 41.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 42.2% | 41.0% | 1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 43.3% | 42.7% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 42.2% | 43.1% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 44.2% | 42.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 43.3% | 41.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 41.8% | 42.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 42.2% | 43.1% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 40.3% | 43.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:39 PM | 42.6% | 43.3% | -0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing stefon diggs receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 18h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 4.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 19h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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