Projection 4.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
George Pickens Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.3% against 53.1% (an edge of -0.8 points) and is now 48.9% against 50.9% (-2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 52.3% | 53.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 51.1% | 52.6% | -1.5 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 53.3% | 52.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 53.2% | 55.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 53.6% | 51.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 6:10 AM | 51.8% | 51.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 52.5% | 51.7% | 0.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 51.2% | 53.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 51.6% | 51.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 54.7% | 51.9% | 2.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 51.2% | 51.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.3% | 51.6% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:40 AM | 49.0% | 51.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 53.5% | 53.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 57.5% | 51.7% | 5.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 49.1% | 51.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 49.0% | 51.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 48.5% | 51.5% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 53.7% | 51.9% | 1.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 51.7% | 50.7% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 48.3% | 50.7% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 48.0% | 50.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 48.8% | 51.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 49.0% | 51.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 51.4% | 50.7% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 AM | 49.2% | 50.7% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 AM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 46.5% | 51.7% | -5.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 48.0% | 51.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 47.7% | 51.7% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 49.0% | 51.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 46.5% | 50.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 50.0% | 50.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 46.5% | 51.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 48.0% | 51.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 50.4% | 51.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 50.9% | 51.7% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 46.5% | 51.5% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 48.2% | 50.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 PM | 48.2% | 50.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 PM | 46.5% | 50.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:33 PM | 48.9% | 50.9% | -2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing george pickens receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 36m ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 59m ago | |
|
|
4.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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