DJ Moore — Receptions
Projection 4.1
+2.06pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+13842%42¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+12045.5%45¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
DJ Moore Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.3% against 46.5% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 45.6% against 43.0% (2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 3:10 AM | 43.3% | 46.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:20 AM | 42.2% | 46.4% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:30 AM | 43.9% | 46.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 43.3% | 45.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 28, 4:30 AM | 42.8% | 47.4% | -4.6 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 43.4% | 47.2% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 42.9% | 43.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 28, 3:50 PM | 42.4% | 46.9% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 6:10 PM | 43.4% | 41.7% | 1.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 44.1% | 44.4% | -0.3 |
| Oct 28, 7:30 PM | 43.3% | 41.7% | 1.6 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 PM | 45.8% | 43.1% | 2.7 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 45.5% | 44.6% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 48.6% | 44.8% | 3.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 49.1% | 45.0% | 4.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 AM | 48.8% | 46.1% | 2.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 45.9% | 42.6% | 3.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 44.5% | 45.8% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 44.9% | 44.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 AM | 43.3% | 48.1% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:20 PM | 46.4% | 50.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 46.2% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 45.5% | 47.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 45.5% | 49.3% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 45.3% | 48.8% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 46.2% | 49.3% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 46.6% | 49.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 44.5% | 47.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:50 PM | 46.9% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 45.9% | 46.2% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 46.4% | 46.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 46.7% | 46.1% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 AM | 45.5% | 45.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 42.2% | 46.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 45.5% | 45.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 44.2% | 48.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 44.3% | 49.5% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 45.9% | 49.8% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 45.5% | 47.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 45.6% | 48.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 46.0% | 47.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 46.4% | 47.2% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 44.2% | 46.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 44.2% | 46.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 PM | 43.3% | 45.7% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 48.6% | 46.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 46.3% | 43.9% | 2.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 44.9% | 44.1% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 41.4% | 42.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 AM | 40.3% | 43.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 47.6% | 43.1% | 4.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 48.0% | 43.1% | 4.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 44.8% | 43.1% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 44.9% | 42.7% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 42.2% | 43.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:16 PM | 45.6% | 43.0% | 2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dj moore receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 11h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | |
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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