Calvin Ridley — Receptions
Projection 1.6
+1.2pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-13557.4%57¢
against
Courtside's
-12956.3%56¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Calvin Ridley Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 61.9% against 69.2% (an edge of -7.3 points) and is now 56.7% against 58.2% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 61.9% | 69.2% | -7.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 61.8% | 63.8% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 61.6% | 62.8% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 59.5% | 62.7% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 58.8% | 61.8% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 58.6% | 61.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 61.5% | 61.2% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 59.7% | 60.3% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 59.7% | 61.2% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 60.8% | 60.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 60.8% | 61.2% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 60.8% | 61.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 60.9% | 60.9% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 60.9% | 60.9% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 58.6% | 58.6% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 60.3% | 57.1% | 3.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 59.0% | 60.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 57.2% | 60.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 58.1% | 60.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 PM | 56.2% | 62.7% | -6.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 PM | 57.9% | 60.3% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 PM | 58.2% | 60.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 PM | 58.0% | 60.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 PM | 57.8% | 60.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 PM | 58.0% | 59.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 PM | 57.9% | 60.0% | -2.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:40 AM | 59.7% | 59.0% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 AM | 58.6% | 60.0% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 8:20 AM | 59.7% | 59.0% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 AM | 58.8% | 60.0% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 8:40 AM | 59.0% | 59.0% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 8:50 AM | 60.2% | 59.7% | 0.5 |
| Nov 1, 10:10 AM | 59.8% | 60.0% | -0.2 |
| Nov 1, 10:20 AM | 60.4% | 58.5% | 1.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 59.8% | 60.3% | -0.5 |
| Nov 1, 11:20 AM | 56.7% | 57.1% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 58.7% | 60.0% | -1.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 58.6% | 58.3% | 0.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 PM | 57.3% | 59.4% | -2.1 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 PM | 57.2% | 59.7% | -2.5 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 58.6% | 60.0% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 56.2% | 59.4% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:50 PM | 57.5% | 58.7% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 PM | 58.6% | 59.4% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 PM | 56.7% | 59.0% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 PM | 56.6% | 58.5% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 5:40 PM | 53.1% | 57.1% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 5:50 PM | 56.7% | 58.2% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:58 PM | 56.7% | 58.2% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing calvin ridley receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 57m ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 5h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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