Projection 41.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (40.5)
Teal bars cleared 40.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards 40.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 50.0% against 54.1% (-4.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 50.6% | 54.8% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 51.0% | 52.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 51.0% | 53.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.0% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 51.0% | 52.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 49.0% | 53.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 49.9% | 54.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 50.1% | 54.8% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 49.9% | 54.8% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 49.5% | 54.3% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:33 PM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing demario douglas receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 40.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 48m ago | |
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40.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 52m ago | ||
| Courtside | 40.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 27m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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