Projection 5.4
+2.04pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
Stoiximan's
+12045.5%45¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 29.0% against 33.8% (an edge of -4.8 points) and is now 48.0% against 48.1% (-0.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:20 PM | 29.0% | 33.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 29.7% | 33.8% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 32.0% | 37.0% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 48.7% | 53.5% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 48.6% | 48.3% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 42.2% | 52.6% | -10.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 PM | 41.5% | 51.0% | -9.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 49.0% | 47.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 46.7% | 51.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 45.7% | 52.6% | -6.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 46.5% | 51.5% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 48.0% | 46.9% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 48.0% | 50.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 47.7% | 51.7% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 49.2% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 49.0% | 51.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 48.6% | 46.9% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 42.4% | 50.0% | -7.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 45.9% | 48.1% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 46.8% | 48.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 PM | 48.3% | 48.1% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:40 PM | 49.0% | 46.9% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 47.3% | 47.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:12 PM | 48.0% | 48.1% | -0.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing wan'dale robinson receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
5.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | |
|
|
5.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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