Projection 6.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Ceedee Lamb Receptions 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.3% against 51.0% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.9% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:40 PM | 48.3% | 51.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 48.2% | 50.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 50.6% | 51.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 AM | 48.0% | 51.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 AM | 48.3% | 51.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 AM | 48.9% | 52.8% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 48.5% | 52.8% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 54.5% | 52.4% | 2.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 54.4% | 52.8% | 1.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 56.6% | 51.0% | 5.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 56.7% | 52.4% | 4.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 AM | 48.3% | 51.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 49.5% | 50.5% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 49.7% | 52.4% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 50.5% | 50.5% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 48.7% | 50.7% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 51.2% | 50.4% | 0.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 49.5% | 50.5% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 12:40 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 50.6% | 49.0% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.7% | 50.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 AM | 50.4% | 50.7% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 AM | 48.4% | 50.6% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 52.3% | 51.7% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 50.7% | 52.6% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 54.3% | 51.2% | 3.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 50.4% | 51.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 51.5% | 49.0% | 2.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 49.1% | 52.2% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 54.3% | 51.0% | 3.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 52.3% | 51.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 47.8% | 51.2% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 49.9% | 51.4% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 50.0% | 50.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 48.5% | 49.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 51.2% | 50.7% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 AM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 AM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 49.0% | 49.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 49.0% | 52.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 45.6% | 50.7% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 48.0% | 49.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 49.6% | 50.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.2% | 49.0% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:08 PM | 50.0% | 50.9% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ceedee lamb receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 7h ago | ||
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6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
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6.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 7m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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