Projection 59.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (59.5)
Teal bars cleared 59.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Chase Brown Rushing Yards 59.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 41.1% against 41.0% (an edge of 0.1 points) and is now 49.4% against 51.3% (-1.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM | 41.1% | 41.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 41.4% | 42.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 41.9% | 42.9% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 42.2% | 44.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 44.2% | 48.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 44.8% | 46.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM | 45.2% | 46.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 46.5% | 48.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 45.5% | 48.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 49.8% | 47.6% | 2.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 49.4% | 48.8% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 50.5% | 49.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 49.8% | 49.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 AM | 48.5% | 51.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 49.4% | 51.7% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 49.5% | 51.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:52 PM | 49.4% | 51.3% | -1.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing chase brown rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 59.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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59.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 7h ago | |
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59.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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